Private NFP Downside Surprise | Econbrowser


+74K vs. +110K Bloomberg consensus. My nowcast based on ADP suggested +66K.

Figure 1: Private NFP, May release (black), June release (red), nowcast using ADP (light blue square), +/- 1 standard error (gray +). Source: BLS, author’s calculations (see text).

This entry was posted on by Menzie Chinn.



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